The Real
Estate Cycle is Your First Key to Successful Investing
The
real estate cycle is the most influential key to your real estate
investing. If you do not understand how the cycle works, your real
estate investing will be more difficult. When you understand the cycle
and identify where your market lies, then investing becomes easier
because you are going with the trend instead of fighting it. These
principles can also help you identify emerging markets as the cycle
changes.
Let's look
at the cycle:
For now, we are only
going to focus on the outer edge of the cycle. The primary factors that
drive the real estate cycle are based on supply and demand. The supply
is based on the amount of homes that are available for sale (new and
existing homes) as well as the homes for rent. While the demand is
based on the number of buyers/renters that there are for those
properties.
In essence, economic factors drive the market. When you start to get to
the top portion of the cycle
"Sell
High",
it is because the supply begins to out pace the demands. Too many
people have purchased existing properties, too many people are building
new homes, and too many people have rentals that they have purchased.
As a result, the cycle begins to change downward.
The masses hear about how prices have increased during the previous
stages of
increasing
rents/prices and begin to build new homes. This stage of
increasing construction
is usually when many speculative investors build a new home to sell.
What the speculators have not realized is that the market has changed.
As a general rule of thumb, when the media is talking about a great
investment opportunity, the real opportunity has come and gone.

Now
that people have
overbuilt,
there are many more vacancies and properties for sale. Why?
Because the inventory of properties (supply) has outpaced the demand
and the market turns down towards the
"Buy Low" portion
of the real estate cycle.
With vacancies increasing, landlords will do what they can to get a
tenant in the home.
Rent
concessions
will be commonplace as landlords offer free rent, lower deposits, or
something else to entice tenants to come to them. Similar concessions
will also be apparent with people selling their home.
As landlords/sellers begin offering these concessions, they are trying
to offer something better than their competition.
Rents/prices decline as
a result. As inventory is not moving,
declining construction is
the result. Builders do not want to build if they cannot sell the
property.
High vacancy will
also be present in the bottom portion of the real estate cycle. Again,
there will be more inventory than there will be people to fill them.
A change will happen in the market where a
little activity
will begin to build. This is usually a result of new jobs coming into
an area. People will move into the area for the jobs and demand will
rise as a result. This helps the demand catch up to the supply.
When the supply and demand begin to even out, investors that track
these figures will begin to
accumulate
properties.
The investors that understand this concept can watch the real estate
market trends and adjust their strategy accordingly. With demand
increasing, there will be
low
vacancy because people will be buying/renting.
Increased demand with buying and renting will force
rents/prices to increase. And
the cycle will begin again, and again, and again...
There are several things that you want to learn from this:
1. Real estate always goes in cycles.
2. Every market is in a different cycle.
3.
Financing is also directly tied to the cycle.
4.
There are also investing strategies that work
better in one part of the cycle than another.
5.
Identify
the key indicators to know what stage YOUR market is in.
6.
Once you know your market, where your market
is at in the cycle, and
what techniques you should be focusing on, you will be able to create a
real estate investing business plan customized to your area and your
resources.
This is why it is so critical for you to
become an
educated investor. When you understand the real estate cycle
and how it
works, you will be better positioned to make a profit in the real
estate market.
In order to begin investing, you must have a complete vision of what to
do as an investor. To help you with this, we have created the real
estate investing guide.
Click here to get this free guide that will
serve as a checklist to get your investing business started.
Do
you still have questions about investing in real estate?
Visit our real
estate frequently asked questions (FAQ) to get the most commonly asked
questions answered.